Mason Hosts New Hampshire

By
Palmer Johnson
-
27
419

Your George Mason Patriots are taking on the 2-2 New Hampshire Wildcats. Both of New Hampshire’s wins are against non-D1 opponents, and they lost two road games, although losing to 218ranked Harvard by 11 isn’t too bad.

Nathan Davis is in his third season at the helm of the Wildcats. He was previously with Bucknell and made the 2017 and 2018 NCAA tournament with them. Davis has an overall record of 155-156, being 26-41 at New Hampshire and 13-19 in America East play.

Jack Graham, a junior 6’3 wing, played his first two seasons at Richmond. If you don’t recognize his name, it is because he was out of the rotation both seasons.

New Hampshire By The Numbers

New Hampshire is the 358th (out of 365) ranked team in the country, with the 340th ranked offense and 354th ranked defense on KenPom.

The Wildcats have played 69 and 70 possessions in their two D1 games, which is fast, but not fast enough that it should get Mason out of rhythm. Their possession length on defense is really short but long on offense. Since they have a low turnover-force rate, I am going to assume that is a really bad thing.

This would be a long and boring section if I told you the things they are bad at. The Wildcats’ offensive strengths are that they only turn it over 19.4% of the time, 227th, including only having a steal on 7.9% of possessions, 84th best. That means that the low defensive possession length isn’t even a product of a lot of fast breaks.

On defense, New Hampshire does an excellent job finishing possessions once the other team misses, allowing only a 21.4% offensive rebound rate, which is 23rd best. That is an odd thing for such a low-ranked team to be good at.

Belal El Shakery, a 6’8 big, takes 38.5% of the shots, and is not very efficient with them, with his true shooting being lower than the aforementioned shot rate. He does have a 45.5% defensive rebound rate, which is second in the country.

Comeh Emubor has a 33% shot rate, and isn’t much more efficient at a 40.7% true shooting.

Those two play 55% and 48.8% of minutes respectively, and I do not know whether that is a choice or not, as they commit 8.2 and 7.2 fouls per 40.

New Hampshire Scouting Report (First Half vs. Harvard)

They were up 48-28 at the two-minute mark. Which means they got smoked in the second half.

Offense

El Shakery plays on the perimeter. Kijan Robinson, 8, can somewhat create rim pressure and get guys open. Jack Graham looks like their best player offensively

At times, a whole lot of giving a guy the ball and letting him do his thing. That’s not good.

New Hampshire needs the threes to fall to stay competitive. They will chuck them up in transition. They will also shoot over zones.

It really did feel like they weren’t doing anything spectacular, just taking the first three they saw, and having it go in.

Defense

A lot of man defense, but most of the guys cannot stay in front of their man and have to foul a lot, especially El Shakery. Giannos Xanthopolous, number 6, is slow and lumbering. If you can draw him to the perimeter, it is over.

What Does This Mean For Mason?

Mason needs to blow New Hampshire out of the water in order for this to be a positive game for the metrics. It would have to be the Wofford game at the very least.

I predict an 85-60 victory for the Patriots, as I think the defense lets up a little bit of their intensity, and the offense is able to do whatever they want.

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